Thursday, August 12, 2010

SingTel - OCBC Investment Research(Morning Call)

SingTel: 1Q11 Results Mostly In Line


SingTel released its 1Q11 results this morning, with revenue up 11.5% YoY;

but it fell 4.1% QoQ and was also about 3.8% below our estimate, mainly

hit by seasonally lower IT and Engineering revenue from NCS and a weaker

AUD QoQ. Net profit eased 0.2% YoY to S$943.2m; however, it fell 7.1%

QoQ, again due mainly to seasonal factors and lower associate contributions

(down 17.8% YoY and 6.9% QoQ); but it was just 1.6% shy of our forecast,

as overall EBITDA margin was relatively steady at 29.3%, versus 29.9% in

both 1Q10 and 4Q10. Going forward, SingTel maintains its previous guidance

for the rest of FY11, although it continues to caution that its consolidated

operating revenue and operational EBITDA will be impacted by AUD

movements and the earnings contributions from its regional associates will

be affected by regional forex movements as well. We will be listening in to

the analyst briefing later and will have more updates. Until then, we place

our BUY rating and S$3.40 fair value under review. (Carey Wong)

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