Written by The Edge
Tuesday, 17 August 2010 14:31
Singapore non-oil domestic exports likely to moderate in 2H 2010 on concerns about sustainability of global economic recovery, Standard Chartered Bank economist Alvin Liew says after island nation reports July exports +18.2% on year vs +20% consensus, +28.5% June, according to Dow Jones.
“We could yet see more significant moderation in exports growth in 2H this year. Indeed, it is likely the export recovery may have reached a plateau in 1H-2010, and going forward the recovery momentum will slow and even look anemic for some months” because of concerns about the sustainability global recovery, high unemployment in US, EU, Liew says.
Also, lingering Europe sovereign debt concerns could negatively impact trade flows. Adds, pharmaceutical exports remains wildcard for Singapore, magnifying peaks, troughs of export performance.
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